Oxfordshire Bonfire Night 2023

Impact of fireworks and bonfires on PM concentrations


Authors

Jack Davison

Approved by

Jenny Thomas

Customer

Oxfordshire County Council

Oxford City Council

West Oxfordshire District Council

Vale of White Horse District Council

South Oxfordshire District Council

Cherwell District Council

Compilation Date

January 17, 2024

Copyright

Ricardo Energy & Environment


Contact

Jenny Thomas at jenny.thomas@ricardo.com.

Using this document

This is an interactive document produced using Quarto, an open-source scientific publishing system. As well as providing a traditional report narrative, many of the elements within this document can be interacted with in a similar way to a data dashboard. For example, plots can show tooltips and maps can be zoomed and panned around. More specific instruction can be found near interactive elements by hovering over tooltips like the one in this box below.

Tooltip

1 Introduction

1.1 Purpose

Every year on the 5th of November, Britons celebrate Guy Fawkes Night, or “Bonfire Night”, by lighting bonfires and setting off fireworks. While these activities are entertaining ways to spend a winter evening, they are known to emit both gaseous pollutants (NOx) and particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5). The composition of these particulates includes the toxic metals used to give fireworks their colour, the inhalation of which have harmful impacts on human health.

In 2023, Bonfire Night fell on a Sunday. The UK had only recently experienced the effects of Storm Ciarán, which brought yellow weather mornings to much of the South of England. Many regions across the UK experienced wet and stormy weather, leading to firework displays being postponed or cancelled. In other instances, atmospheric conditions prohibited smoke from dissipating, blocking sight of the displays.

This report closely examines particulate matter (PM) concentrations at the Oxford St Ebbes and Oxford High Street monitoring stations to assess how Oxfordshire was impacted by Bonfire Night activities.

1.2 Data

In 2023, Oxfordshire’s air quality network contained 7 AURN/Air Quality England sites. Figure 1 shows a map of these sites. Links to each of their respective OxonAir site information pages are included in each marker popup. Oxford St Ebbes and Oxford High Street, the only two sites which measure particulates, are highlighted in orange. In addition, known firework displays (taken from https://www.dailyinfo.co.uk/fireworks) are shown using black firework icons.

Interactive Maps

Figure 1: A map showing all air quality measurement sites in Oxfordshire. Oxford St Ebbes and Oxford High Street are highlighted in orange. Known firework displays are shown using black icons.

2 Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI)

2.1 What is the DAQI?

The Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI) tells you about levels of air pollution and provides recommended actions and health advice. The index is numbered 1-10, low (1) to very high (10), and divided into four bands to provide detail about air pollution levels in a simple way, similar to the sun index or pollen index (“Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI)” 2023).

“Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI).” 2023. Oxfordshire County Council. https://www.oxonair.uk/about-air-quality/daily-air-quality-index-daqi.

Tabsets

Table 1:

Defra DAQI boundaries for particulate matter. Boundaries are based on daily mean concentrations for NO2 and PM, and 8-hour mean concentrations for O3.

Band DAQI O3 NO2 PM2.5 PM10
Low 1

0 – 33

0 – 67

0 – 11

0 – 16

2

34 – 66

68 – 134

12 – 23

17 – 33

3

67 – 100

135 – 200

24 – 35

34 – 50

Moderate 4

101 – 120

201 – 267

36 – 41

51 – 58

5

121 – 140

268 – 334

42 – 47

59 – 66

6

141 – 160

335 – 400

48 – 53

67 – 75

High 7

161 – 187

401 – 467

54 – 58

76 – 83

8

188 – 213

468 – 534

59 – 64

84 – 91

9

214 – 240

535 – 600

65 – 70

92 – 100

Very High 10

241+

601+

71+

101+

Table 2:

Suggested actions and health advice at different DAQI boundaries.

AP Band Accompanying Health Messages
at-risk individuals the general population
Low (1-3) Enjoy your usual outdoor activities. Enjoy your usual outdoor activities.
Moderate (4-6) Adults and children with lung problems, and adults with heart problems, who experience symptoms, should consider reducing strenuous physical activity, particularly outdoors. Enjoy your usual outdoor activities.
High (7-9) Adults and children with lung problems, and adults with heart problems, should reduce strenuous physical exertion, particularly outdoors, and particularly if they experience symptoms. People with asthma may find they need to use their reliever inhaler more often. Older people should also reduce physical exertion. Anyone experiencing discomfort such as sore eyes, cough or sore throat should consider reducing activity, particularly outdoors.
Very High (10) Adults and children with lung problems, adults with heart problems, and older people, should avoid strenuous physical activity. People with asthma may find they need to use their reliever inhaler more often. Reduce physical exertion, particularly outdoors, especially if you experience symptoms such as cough or sore throat.

2.2 DAQI in Oxford

Figure 2 and Figure 3 show the evolution of the particulate matter DAQI across November 2023 at the two Oxfordshire measurement sites. There is no clear peak in daily PM concentrations for either site or particle size. In fact, daily average particulates are higher towards the end of November. Regardless, the DAQI for PM remains in the “low” bound for the entirety of November, which is associated with no adverse public health advice for even the most vulnerable in the population (Table 2).

Tabsets

Interactive Plots

Figure 2: The daily air quality inex (DAQI) at Oxford St Ebbes for PM at Oxford St Ebbes over time. The y-axis shows the relevant statistic (maximum 8-hour running mean) and the colour the DAQI that day.

Interactive Plots

Figure 3: The daily air quality inex (DAQI) at Oxford High Street for PM at Oxford St Ebbes over time. The y-axis shows the relevant statistic (maximum 8-hour running mean) and the colour the DAQI that day.

3 Measured Concentrations

3.1 Air Quality Statistics

Table 3 provides a monthly summary for particulate matter measured at Oxford St Ebbes and Oxford High Street.

Table 3:

A statistical summary of particulate concentrations in November 2023. All concentrations are given in μg m-3. “P” stands for ‘percentile’ - e.g., ‘P95’ represents the 95th percentile of the data.

pollutant min median mean P95 P99 max
Oxford High St

PM10

1.20 12.15 13.06 25.60 31.14 55.60

PM2.5

0.50 6.60 7.70 18.30 23.54 31.00
Oxford St Ebbes

PM10

0.82 7.15 8.14 16.93 18.43 28.32

PM2.5

0.35 4.28 5.32 13.23 15.68 24.84

3.2 Hourly Mean Values

The hourly particulate concentrations measured at Oxford St Ebbes and Oxford High Street are shown in Figure 4. This reveals some key features of measured particulate during the Bonfire Night period.

  • First, Oxford High Street almost always consistently measured higher PM than Oxford St Ebbes.

  • Second, Bonfire Night was associated with a peak in hourly mean PM, although this was cut across two days (from around 6 PM on Nov 4 through to 7 AM on Nov 5). This likely explains the low DAQI, which is a daily statistic.

  • Third, the peak in particulate matter on Bonfire Night is comparable to non-Bonfire peaks throughout November, with additional peaks on Nov 11, Nov 16, and Nov 25, among others.

Interactive Plots

Figure 4: Hourly particulate concentrations in November 2023.

3.3 Historical Comparisons

Figure 5 shows historic hourly particulate concentrations in early November, from 2019 through to 2023. Focusing on the 5th and 6th of November, particulate matter has typically remained relatively low throughout Bonfire Night, with the exception of 2020 which shows a clear peak in measured concentrations. Regardless, the DAQI at both sites remained in the “Low” band in all of the visualised years, with the highest index recoreded being 3 at both sites.

Interactive Plots

Figure 5: Historic hourly particulate concentrations in November, from 2019 through to 2023.

4 Summary

On Bonfire Night 2023, the daily air quality index (DAQI) across Oxfordshire remained within the “low” (1-3) band (Figure 2, Figure 3), which is associated with no adverse public health advice for even the most vulnerable in the population (Table 2). Time plots show some peaks in particulate matter on the evening of the 5th, but are not notably larger than other peaks throughout the rest of November (Figure 4). Low measured particulate concentrations can potentially be attributed to wet weather and relatively low winds.

These observations should not be used to dismiss the air quality impacts of fireworks on public health. The particulate concentrations measured by air quality monitoring networks are influenced by the distance between the fixed measurement sites and the locations of bonfire events (Figure 1). The DAQI as a statistic may be useful for pollutant events which last throughout a given day, but may underestimate the health impacts of a particularly short-lived but significant increases in pollutants. Despite the DAQI remaining “low”, Bonfire Night attendees may have experienced immediate, short-term effects of breathing air contaminated with particulates.

Historic Bonfire Night events did not appear to cause notably elevated concentrations in Oxford (Figure 5) with the exception of 2020. Still, future Bonfire Nights should continue to be analysed as varying meteorology, evolving legislation, and even the day of the week on which Bonfire Night falls will continue to influence particulate emissions as time goes on.