Oxfordshire Summer 2024 Ozone

Elevated ozone in Oxfordshire during Summer 2024


Authors

Jack Davison

Approved by

Jenny Thomas

Customer

Oxfordshire County Council

Oxford City Council

West Oxfordshire District Council

Vale of White Horse District Council

South Oxfordshire District Council

Cherwell District Council

Compilation Date

October 4, 2024

Copyright

Ricardo Energy & Environment


Contact

Jenny Thomas at jenny.thomas@ricardo.com.

Using this document

This is an interactive document produced using Quarto, an open-source scientific publishing system. As well as providing a traditional report narrative, many of the elements within this document can be interacted with in a similar way to a data dashboard. For example, plots can show tooltips and maps can be zoomed and panned around. More specific instruction can be found near interactive elements by hovering over tooltips like the one in this box below.

Tooltip

1 Introduction

1.1 Purpose

This report closely examines ozone (O3) concentrations measured at the Oxford St Ebbes monitoring station in Oxford to assess how Oxfordshire was impacted by elevated ozone throughout summer 2024.

1.2 Data

In 2024, Oxfordshire’s air quality network was comprised of 7 AURN/Air Quality England sites. Figure 1 shows a map of these sites. Links to each of their respective OxonAir site information pages are included in each marker popup. Oxford St Ebbes, the only site which measures ozone, is highlighted in orange.

Interactive Maps

Figure 1: A map showing all air quality measurement sites in Oxfordshire. Oxford St Ebbes is highlighted in orange.

2 Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI)

2.1 What is the DAQI?

The Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI) tells you about levels of air pollution and provides recommended actions and health advice. The index is numbered 1-10, low (1) to very high (10), and divided into four bands to provide detail about air pollution levels in a simple way, similar to the sun index or pollen index (“Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI)” 2023).

“Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI).” 2023. Oxfordshire County Council. https://www.oxonair.uk/about-air-quality/daily-air-quality-index-daqi.

Tabsets

Table 1: Defra DAQI boundaries for particulate matter. Boundaries are based on daily mean concentrations for NO2 and PM, and 8-hour mean concentrations for O3.
Band DAQI

O3

NO2

PM2.5

PM10

Low 1

0 – 33

0 – 67

0 – 11

0 – 16

2

34 – 66

68 – 134

12 – 23

17 – 33

3

67 – 100

135 – 200

24 – 35

34 – 50

Moderate 4

101 – 120

201 – 267

36 – 41

51 – 58

5

121 – 140

268 – 334

42 – 47

59 – 66

6

141 – 160

335 – 400

48 – 53

67 – 75

High 7

161 – 187

401 – 467

54 – 58

76 – 83

8

188 – 213

468 – 534

59 – 64

84 – 91

9

214 – 240

535 – 600

65 – 70

92 – 100

Very High 10

241+

601+

71+

101+

Table 2: Suggested actions and health advice at different DAQI boundaries.
AP Band Accompanying Health Messages
at-risk individuals the general population
Low (1-3) Enjoy your usual outdoor activities. Enjoy your usual outdoor activities.
Moderate (4-6) Adults and children with lung problems, and adults with heart problems, who experience symptoms, should consider reducing strenuous physical activity, particularly outdoors. Enjoy your usual outdoor activities.
High (7-9) Adults and children with lung problems, and adults with heart problems, should reduce strenuous physical exertion, particularly outdoors, and particularly if they experience symptoms. People with asthma may find they need to use their reliever inhaler more often. Older people should also reduce physical exertion. Anyone experiencing discomfort such as sore eyes, cough or sore throat should consider reducing activity, particularly outdoors.
Very High (10) Adults and children with lung problems, adults with heart problems, and older people, should avoid strenuous physical activity. People with asthma may find they need to use their reliever inhaler more often. Reduce physical exertion, particularly outdoors, especially if you experience symptoms such as cough or sore throat.

2.2 DAQI Statistics

Figure 2 shows the evolution of the ozone DAQI across summer 2024 at Oxford St Ebbes. There were 7 days on which ozone exceeded the “Low” DAQI band; 06 April, 09 May to 12 May, 19 May to 20 May, 02 June, 25 June to 26 June, 19 July, and 29 July to 01 August. During these episodes, the DAQI for ozone reached a maximum of 6, which occurred on 30 July and 31 July.

Interactive Plots

Figure 2: The daily air quality inex (DAQI) for O3 at Oxford St Ebbes over time. The y-axis shows the relevant statistic (maximum 8-hour running mean) and the colour the DAQI that day.

Thankfully, Oxford St Ebbes did not reach either the “high” or “very high” bands during the summer ozone episodes. It spent around 11% of days from April to August in the “moderate” band, which has associated health guidance for at-risk individuals (Table 2).

Low

125

Moderate

15

High

0

Very High

0

3 Measured Concentrations

3.1 Air Quality Statistics

Table 3 provides a monthly summary for ozone measured at Oxford St Ebbes, including a distribution of the daily air quality index for each month.

Table 3: A statistical summary of ozone concentrations in summer 2024 measured at Oxford St Ebbes.
month mean min max value Max 8hr Rolling Mean DAQI
days >100 days >120
April 70.02 4.19 105.52 103.81 1.00 0
30 0 0 0 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
May 59.51 1.13 136.36 128.71 6.00 2
30 0 0 7 18 4 2 0 0 0 0 0
June 57.38 1.55 136.31 132.75 3.00 1
30 0 0 5 22 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
July 48.74 0.60 156.41 148.49 4.00 2
30 0 0 19 8 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
August 51.14 0.20 141.25 106.20 1.00 0
30 0 0 12 18 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

3.2 Hourly Mean Values

The hourly ozone concentrations measured at Oxford St Ebbes are shown in Figure 3.

Interactive Plots

Figure 3: Hourly ozone concentrations in Summer 2024

4 Meteorology

4.1 Temperature Dependence

Every site in the AURN has accompanying modelled meteorological data obtained using the Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF) Model by Ricardo (Lingard et al. 2013), which can be combined with the measured meteorological data to demonstrate the temperature dependence on ozone. Figure 4 shows a hexagonally binned scatter plot of hourly modelled air temperature against ozone with a smooth trend fitted to the data. It shows that high ozone concentrations are broadly associated with high temperatures, with a particularly high gradient starting at roughly 20 ℃.

Lingard, Justin, Lorenzo Labrador, Daniel Brookes, and Andrea Fraser. 2013. “Statistical Evaluation of the Input Meteorological Data Used for the UK Air Quality Forecast (UK-AQF).” Ricardo-AEA. https://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/library/reports.php?report_id=770.
Figure 4: The relationship between hourly mean O3 and hourly modelled temperature. The white line represents a smooth fit to the underlying data.

4.2 Air Mass Trajectories

Figure 5 shows binned data from the HYSPLIT forecast model (Stein et al. 2015). The plot illustrates where the air masses that affected Oxfordshire have travelled from, coloured by the ozone concentration at Oxford St Ebbes at time of arrival.

Stein, A. F., R. R. Draxler, G. D. Rolph, B. J. B. Stunder, M. D. Cohen, and F. Ngan. 2015. “NOAA’s HYSPLIT Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling System.” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96 (12): 2059–77. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00110.1.

The specific approach used to create this map is Simplified Quantitative Transport Bias Analysis. You can read more about this in the openair book.

Air mass trajectories are an important factor on air pollution levels as they provide a useful indicator of the likelihood of transboundary air pollutants, many of which could be ozone precursor species. Air coming from the west is likely to be mainly clean and good pollution dispersion conditions (wind and precipitation), whilst air masses from the south and east can bring more settled conditions and also pick up background emissions from mainland Europe.

The map shows that the highest concentrations of ozone are associated with air masses arriving in Oxfordshire from over Northern Europe (countries like Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany, and Poland) and Spain. These have potentially picked up ozone-producing pollutants from industrial activity, exacerbating any ozone episodes experienced in the UK. Conversely, lower concentrations are associated with “cleaner” air masses arriving from over the Atlantic ocean.

Interactive Maps

Figure 5: A map showing average airmass arrivals in Oxford during summer 2024, coloured by measured ozone at time of arrival.

5 Summary

In 2024, Oxfordshire experienced elevated ozone levels. This included the Oxford St Ebbes Automatic Urban and Rural Monitoring Network site in Oxford town centre, which reached “moderate” pollution levels on 15 days (Figure 2). Elevated ozone can be attributed to dry and sunny weather (Figure 4), with easterly wind carrying ozone precursors over from mainland Europe (Figure 5).

Throughout August 2024, O3 concentrations in Oxford have fluctuated within the “low” air quality index band. The changing meteorology which coincides with the UK entering the autumn and winter months makes any further ozone episodes in 2024 unlikely.